The president won at the court, but did his victory help his reelection bid? Douglas Schoen looks at the polls and says the answer is a definitive no.
The Supreme Court ruling on Obamacare may have been a policy win for President Obama, but it’s now clear that it didn’t yield any political benefit. To be sure, a Newsweek/Daily Beast poll that I conducted immediately following the Supreme Court ruling found that a solid majority of voters (58 percent) saw the decision as a major political win for Obama. And yet, while voters may have thought the ruling was a political win for the president, recent polling indicates clearly and unambiguously that his overall political standing is virtually unchanged in the wake of the decision.
A supporter holds a sign of President Barack Obama in front of the U.S. Supreme Court in Washington, D.C., June 28, 2012. (Mark Wilson / Getty Images)
Put simply, there has been no real bounce for Obama vis-à-vis Mitt Romney. If you look at the polls that have been conducted before and after June 28—the day of the Supreme Court ruling—you’ll see that there has been no shift toward the president over the past 10 days. In the Real Clear Politics polling average on June 27, Obama held a 3-point lead over Romney. Now, the RCP average has him leading by 2.6 points.