By: John Hayward, 10/30/2012 —
Back on Sept. 23, the Mason Dixon polling firm saw Florida as “very much a toss-up” and “very much a turnout game,” as they described things to the Tampa Bay Times. It was a virtual tie at 48-47 between Obama and Romney, with libertarian Gary Johnson sitting on 1 percent.
But now Mason Dixon is pulling out of the Sunshine State, explaining to the Tampa Bay Times that “Mitt Romney has pretty much nailed down Florida.” Hopefully the “binders full of women” crowd won’t think that means Romney is running around the state and nailing people to palm trees.
The key Florida polling real estate is the “highly coveted I-4 corridor” running from Tampa through Orlando, which Obama carried in 2008, but Romney is winning 51-45 in the latest round of polls. With support levels dwindling in Obama-favored counties, it was decided to invest polling resources elsewhere. The Suffolk University polling operation already made a similar decision with regard to Florida fully two weeks ago… and also concluded Obama had no realistic chance of winning either North Carolina or Virginia.